Trace McSorley Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Trace McSorley

NFL · Player Props

Trace McSorley

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Passing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 26, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Trace McSorley Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 188.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 193.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 188.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to start backup QB Trace McSorley in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 138.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 62.6 plays per game.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have thrown for the 4th-least yards in football (just 210.0 per game) against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, giving up 6.90 yards-per-target: the 6th-least in the NFL.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.73 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-least in football.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks project as the 7th-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

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