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Trace McSorley

Trace McSorley Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Arizona Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Trace McSorley Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 188.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 193.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 188.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to start backup QB Trace McSorley in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 138.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 62.6 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing QBs have thrown for the 4th-least yards in football (just 210.0 per game) against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, giving up 6.90 yards-per-target: the 6th-least in the NFL.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.73 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-least in football.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks project as the 7th-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Arizona Cardinals O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

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