Tony Pollard Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Tennessee Titans

Touchdowns

Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 2:49 PM EST

Analysis

Tony Pollard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+123/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +123 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are massive -12.5-point underdogs.
While Tony Pollard has accounted for 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much bigger part of Tennessee's passing attack near the end zone in this week's game at 5.4%.
Tony Pollard has put up a staggering 2.0 air yards per game this year: 84th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not seem like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
In regards to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.
The Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (89.3%) vs. RBs this year (89.3%).

Favors Under

The model projects the Titans to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 57.1% pass rate.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Titans are predicted by the projections to call only 62.5 total plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Titans have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 51.6 plays per game.
Tony Pollard has received 68.4% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
Tony Pollard's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 84.5% to 78.0%.

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