Tony Pollard Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Tennessee Titans

Touchdowns

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 3:47 PM EST

Analysis

Tony Pollard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+167/-186).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a huge 7-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
When it comes to air yards, Tony Pollard ranks in the towering 85th percentile among running backs this year, totaling a striking 2.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).
The Titans O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has allowed the 7th-most TDs through the air in football to running backs: 0.20 per game this year.
The Indianapolis Colts linebackers rank as the worst group of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.5% pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 52.4 plays per game.
Tony Pollard has received 64.3% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
With a poor 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) this year, Tony Pollard places as one of the RB receiving threats with the smallest workloads near the end zone in the NFL.

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