Tony Pollard Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Tennessee Titans

Touchdowns

Baltimore Ravens vs Tennessee Titans · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 2, 2026 10:02 AM EST

Analysis

Tony Pollard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+199/-228).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -11.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are massive underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Titans to pass on 59.8% of their downs: the 8th-highest rate among all teams this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in the league.
Tony Pollard grades out in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs this year with a massive 2.6% of his offense's air yards accumulated.
When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans profiles as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Titans to call the 6th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 9th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Titans since the start of last season (only 55.2 per game on average).
Out of all running backs, Tony Pollard grades out in the 91st percentile for red zone rush attempts this year, taking on 57.1% of the workload in his team's rushing attack near the end zone.
Tony Pollard has been has not been looked to very often his team's passing attack near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks him in the 1st percentile when it comes to running backs.
With an awful rate of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Tony Pollard stands as one of the bottom receiving TD-scorers in the NFL among running backs since the start of last season.