Tony Pollard Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Tennessee Titans

Touchdowns

New York Giants vs Tennessee Titans · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 2:33 PM EST

Analysis

Tony Pollard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+163/-167).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Right now, the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Tennessee Titans.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the feeble New York Giants pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 88.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 4th-largest rate in football.
The New York Giants defense has been torched for the 5th-most touchdowns through the air in the NFL to RBs: 0.32 per game since the start of last season.
When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, New York's collection of safeties has been excellent since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the NFL.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Titans to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 53.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
With a 56.2% rate of running the ball in the red zone (in a neutral context) this year, the 6th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL in this regard has been the Titans.
The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Tony Pollard has received 45.5% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, putting him in the 81st percentile among running backs.
Tony Pollard has been been lightly used his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 1.7% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 25th percentile among running backs.