Tony Pollard Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Tennessee Titans

Touchdowns

Tennessee Titans vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 1:07 PM EST

Analysis

Tony Pollard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+229/-276).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +218 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +229.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Titans are heavy underdogs in this game, implying much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Titans have been the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 100.0% red zone pass rate.
The projections expect the Titans offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.61 seconds per play.
Tony Pollard has accumulated a monstrous 1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 78th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That might not seem like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).

Favors Under

The predictive model expects Tony Pollard to be much less involved in his offense's run game near the goal line in this week's contest (28.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been last year (42.4% in games he has played).
With a terrible rate of just 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Tony Pollard stands as one of the bottom receiving TD-scorers in the NFL when it comes to RBs since the start of last season.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest level in football against the Philadelphia Eagles defense since the start of last season (64.2% Adjusted Completion%).
The opposing side have rushed for the 7th-most TDs in football (1.17 per game) versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense since the start of last season.