Tony Pollard Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Tennessee Titans · Week 4, 2026

Updated Sep 30, 2026 10:37 PM EST

Analysis

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+110/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 69.5 @ -1086 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Titans to be the 8th-most run-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 41.9% run rate.
In this game, Tony Pollard is predicted by the projections to slot into the 82nd percentile among RBs with 16.0 rush attempts.
Tony Pollard has been given 60.3% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Tony Pollard has generated 51.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the league when it comes to running backs (85th percentile).

Favors Under

At a -11.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are massive underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see only 124.6 plays on offense called: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
The 9th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Titans since the start of last season (only 55.2 per game on average).
The Baltimore defensive tackles project as the 4th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in regard to run defense.