Tony Pollard Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Tennessee Titans · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 2:33 PM EST

Analysis

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Tennessee Titans as the 8th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 46.7% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Tennessee Titans.
The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
The projections expect Tony Pollard to notch 16.1 carries in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 85th percentile among running backs.
With an outstanding tally of 50.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (86th percentile), Tony Pollard stands among the top pure runners in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Tony Pollard has been a much smaller piece of his offense's ground game this year (50.0% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (65.3%).
When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, New York's collection of safeties has been excellent since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the NFL.