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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Tennessee Titans

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 58.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects Tony Pollard to earn 16.9 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The predictive model expects Tony Pollard to be a less important option in his offense's running game in this week's contest (47.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (58.5% in games he has played).

With an outstanding tally of 59.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (79th percentile), Tony Pollard has been as one of the best pure rushers in the NFL this year.

Tony Pollard's 3.99 yards-after-contact this season conveys a remarkable improvement in his running proficiency over last season's 2.86 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Titans will be starting backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Titans are a massive 12.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

The model projects the Titans as the least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 35.7% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Titans to run the 2nd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Titans this year (a mere 55.5 per game on average).

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