Tony Pollard Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 6, 2024

Updated Oct 13, 2024 7:41 PM EST

Analysis

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans have been the 8th-most run-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 43.0% run rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 127.8 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.
In this week's game, Tony Pollard is anticipated by the model to land in the 78th percentile among RBs with 13.7 carries.
Out of all running backs, Tony Pollard ranks in the 88th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 57.8% of the workload in his offense's running game.

Favors Under

The Tennessee Titans have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.5 plays per game.
The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles grade out as the 8th-best unit in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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