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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-103/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week, Tony Pollard is predicted by the projection model to finish in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 17.0 rush attempts.
  • Among all running backs, Tony Pollard ranks in the 92nd percentile for carries this year, accounting for 62.0% of the workload in his team's run game.
  • With an excellent rate of 62.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (81st percentile), Tony Pollard stands as one of the top pure runners in the NFL this year.
  • With an impressive rate of 3.67 yards after contact (92nd percentile), Tony Pollard places as one of the strongest RBs in the NFL this year.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Houston's unit has been terrible this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a heavy -8-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The projections expect the Tennessee Titans as the 4th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 40.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Titans are forecasted by the projection model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Tony Pollard's ground effectiveness (3.87 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (19th percentile when it comes to running backs).

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