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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Minnesota Vikings

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 44.5% rate of rushing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 5th-most run-centric team in the league has been the Titans.

Tony Pollard has averaged 67.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL when it comes to running backs (82nd percentile).

Tony Pollard is positioned as one of the leading RBs in football at picking up extra running yardage, averaging an excellent 3.77 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 92nd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -6-point underdogs.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the projection model to call only 62.6 total plays in this game: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast Tony Pollard to be a much smaller part of his offense's run game this week (47.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (63.3% in games he has played).

This year, the formidable Minnesota Vikings run defense has allowed a puny 76.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 2nd-best in football.

The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles project as the 4th-best unit in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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