Tony Pollard Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 9:26 PM EST

Analysis

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the Cowboys, who are a huge favorite by 13.5 points.
The predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys to run the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
In this week's game, Tony Pollard is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 92nd percentile among RBs with 17.8 carries.
After making up 41.6% of his team's rush attempts last year, Tony Pollard has played a bigger part in the running game this year, now sitting at 61.8%.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys offense to tilt 6.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
At the present time, the 9th-least run-centric team in the league (36.6% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Dallas Cowboys.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Tony Pollard's 2.72 yards-after-contact this year marks a significant drop-off in his rushing prowess over last year's 3.82 mark.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Washington's unit has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 8th-best in the league.

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