Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-115/-115).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Cowboys are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 44.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 140.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Tony Pollard has been a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this season (44.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (33.9%).
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year at opening holes for runners.
Favors Under
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has produced the 9th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding just 4.28 yards-per-carry.
The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.