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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys

Tony Pollard Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-131/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

The Cowboys have been the 10th-most run-oriented team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 50.2% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Tony Pollard to be a more integral piece of his offense's running game near the goal line this week (58.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (37.0% in games he has played).

Tony Pollard has rushed for 0.62 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in the NFL among running backs (90th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Cowboys have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.

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