Tony Pollard Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are massive -12.5-point underdogs.
This week, Tony Pollard is forecasted by the projections to place in the 75th percentile when it comes to RBs with 2.9 targets.
In regards to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.
The Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (89.3%) vs. RBs this year (89.3%).
The Bengals linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The model projects the Titans to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 57.1% pass rate.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Titans are predicted by the projections to call only 62.5 total plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Titans have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 51.6 plays per game.
Tony Pollard has been used less as a potential target this season (31.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (46.1%).
Tony Pollard's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 84.5% to 78.0%.

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