Tony Pollard Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 3:47 PM EST

Analysis

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -149.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a huge 7-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The Titans O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The Indianapolis Colts linebackers rank as the worst group of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.5% pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 52.4 plays per game.
Tony Pollard has run fewer routes this year (29.3% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (46.1%).
Tony Pollard's 72.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents an impressive decline in his receiving skills over last year's 84.5% rate.

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