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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans will be rolling with backup QB Mason Rudolph in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

This week, Tony Pollard is expected by the model to land in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.0 targets.

With a top-tier 13.7% Target Share (95th percentile) this year, Tony Pollard has been among the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the league.

With a terrific 3.0 adjusted receptions per game (90th percentile) this year, Tony Pollard has been as one of the top RB receiving threats in the league.

The Patriots linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Titans are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tennessee Titans to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are predicted by our trusted projection set to call just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Tony Pollard's 74.5% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a meaningful diminishment in his receiving prowess over last year's 83.5% rate.

More Tony Pollard Player Props

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