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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

The projections expect Tony Pollard to notch 3.1 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 77th percentile among running backs.

With an exceptional 13.9% Target Rate (96th percentile) this year, Tony Pollard stands as one of the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the league.

Tony Pollard grades out as one of the best pass-game RBs this year, averaging a terrific 3.0 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (58.9% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Tennessee Titans.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Titans are predicted by the model to call just 63.4 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

When talking about pass protection (and the impact it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.

Tony Pollard's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 83.5% to 75.9%.

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