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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +117 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are huge -8-point underdogs.

The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Tony Pollard has run a route on 58.3% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among running backs.

The predictive model expects Tony Pollard to notch 3.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs.

Tony Pollard ranks as one of the best RB receiving threats this year, averaging an outstanding 3.0 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 9th-least pass-centric team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.9% pass rate.

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Titans are forecasted by the model to call just 61.3 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.

Tony Pollard's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 83.5% to 76.7%.

The Chargers pass defense has conceded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71.6%) vs. running backs this year (71.6%).

When it comes to safeties rushing the passer, Los Angeles's unit has been terrific this year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.

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