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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys offensive gameplan to lean 6.4% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.5 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

The Cowboys have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.8 plays per game.

Tony Pollard has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this season (56.7% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (44.3%).

In this contest, Tony Pollard is expected by the projections to land in the 83rd percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.5 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 11.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are heavily favored in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.

The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Panthers, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.9 per game) this year.

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