Tony Pollard Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 17, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+165/-225).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +300 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys will be rolling with backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Cowboys are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.
Tony Pollard's receiving performance has tailed off this year, accumulating a measly 1.4 yards per game compared to 2.4 last year.
Tony Pollard's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 89.0% to 62.6%.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (76%) vs. RBs this year (76.0%).
The Philadelphia Eagles pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season.

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