Tony Pollard Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-108/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -191 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are massive -12.5-point underdogs.
This week, Tony Pollard is forecasted by the projections to place in the 75th percentile when it comes to RBs with 2.9 targets.
Tony Pollard has put up a staggering 2.0 air yards per game this year: 84th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not seem like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
In regards to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.
Tony Pollard's talent in picking up extra yardage have been refined this season, compiling 5.73 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 0.00 figure last season.

Favors Under

The model projects the Titans to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 57.1% pass rate.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Titans are predicted by the projections to call only 62.5 total plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Titans have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 51.6 plays per game.
Tony Pollard has been used less as a potential target this season (31.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (46.1%).
Tony Pollard's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 84.5% to 78.0%.

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