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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Minnesota Vikings

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -6-point underdogs.

The Vikings defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (38.0 per game) this year.

The model projects Tony Pollard to notch 3.6 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs.

With a remarkable 13.9% Target Rate (96th percentile) this year, Tony Pollard places among the pass-catching RBs with the most usage in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 55.5% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league has been the Titans.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the projection model to call only 62.6 total plays in this game: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

Tony Pollard's 79.3% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a material reduction in his receiving ability over last year's 83.5% mark.

With a lackluster 4.4 adjusted yards per target (16th percentile) this year, Tony Pollard ranks as one of the weakest RBs in the pass game in the league.

With a poor 4.93 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (7th percentile) this year, Tony Pollard stands among the top pass-catching RBs in football in picking up extra yardage.

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