My Account Log Out

reorder

Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are huge -8-point underdogs.

The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Tony Pollard has run a route on 58.3% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among running backs.

The predictive model expects Tony Pollard to notch 3.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs.

When talking about air yards, Tony Pollard ranks in the lofty 79th percentile among RBs this year, accumulating a whopping 1.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more notable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 9th-least pass-centric team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.9% pass rate.

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Titans are forecasted by the model to call just 61.3 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.

Tony Pollard's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 83.5% to 76.7%.

Tony Pollard profiles as one of the least effective receivers in football among RBs, averaging just 4.28 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 21st percentile.

Tony Pollard's 4.42 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a substantial decrease in his efficiency in space over last year's 5.8% mark.

More Tony Pollard Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™