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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Seattle Seahawks

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 7.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

Right now, the 8th-most pass-oriented offense in football (63.6% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Cowboys.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.

Tony Pollard's 57.9% Route Participation% this season represents a material progression in his passing offense workload over last season's 44.3% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Cowboys, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.

Opposing squads have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league (in a neutral context) against the Cowboys defense this year, averaging 28.19 seconds per play.

Tony Pollard's receiving effectiveness has diminished this year, accumulating a measly 4.92 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 6.46 figure last year.

Tony Pollard's 6.15 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a substantial drop-off in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 9.7% rate.

This year, the formidable Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded a paltry 76.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 4th-smallest rate in the NFL.

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