Tony Pollard Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Cowboys are a 5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Tony Pollard to total 3.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 9th-least pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.6% pass rate.
Tony Pollard has accumulated significantly fewer receiving yards per game (12.0) this season than he did last season (22.0).
Tony Pollard's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 88.9% to 61.7%.
Tony Pollard's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this year, totaling a measly 4.32 yards-per-target vs a 7.84 mark last year.
The Los Angeles Rams defense has surrendered the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 22.0) to RBs this year.

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