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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects Tony Pollard to earn 16.9 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The predictive model expects Tony Pollard to be a less important option in his offense's running game in this week's contest (47.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (58.5% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Titans will be starting backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Titans are a massive 12.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • The model projects the Titans as the least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 35.7% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Titans to run the 2nd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Titans this year (a mere 55.5 per game on average).

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