Tony Pollard Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 3, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 9th-most run-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 40.7% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.45 seconds per play.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line profiles as the best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Washington Commanders defensive ends project as the 5th-best collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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