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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

Tony Pollard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 9th-most run-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 40.7% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.45 seconds per play.

The Dallas Cowboys O-line profiles as the best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.

The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Washington Commanders defensive ends project as the 5th-best collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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