Tony Pollard Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 12, 2022 12:04 AM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-104/-131).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 66.6 plays per game.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys have gone no-huddle on 12.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-most in football). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 5th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 36.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

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