Tommy Tremble Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+465/-580).
Key Factors
Favors Over
This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The projections expect the Panthers to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Panthers to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.2% red zone pass rate.
The predictive model expects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The 6th-most plays in football have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a massive 61.0 per game on average).
Favors Under
As it relates to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year.
This year, the tough Packers defense has given up a measly 0.29 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing TEs: the 8th-lowest rate in the league.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 4th-most touchdowns in the NFL (1.29 per game) versus the Packers defense this year.
The Packers safeties grade out as the best collection of safeties in football this year in defending pass-catchers.