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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Tommy Tremble Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-156/+122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -156.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 25.65 seconds per play.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 9th-highest Completion% in football (74.3%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (74.3%).
  • The Carolina Panthers have been faced with a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Carolina Panthers have risked going for it on 4th down 23.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.
  • Tommy Tremble has been among the worst pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging just 1.3 receptions per game while grading out in the 14th percentile among tight ends.
  • Tommy Tremble has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football among TEs, hauling in just 62.0% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 9th percentile.
  • The Cleveland Browns linebackers project as the best collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
  • The Carolina Panthers offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

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