Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Tommy Tremble

TE · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Chicago Bears · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 3:37 PM EST

Analysis

Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-153/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -181 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Panthers being a -3-point underdog this week.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.6 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually cause better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower run volume.
With a remarkable 60.1% snap rate (75th percentile) last year, Tommy Tremble rates as one of the running backs with the biggest workloads in the league.
The Carolina Panthers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL last year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Favors Under

At the moment, the 6th-least pass-heavy team in the league (58.7% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Panthers.
Opposing QBs have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense last year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.
Tommy Tremble ranks as one of the least efficient receivers in the league among TEs, averaging a measly 6.43 adjusted yards-per-target last year while grading out in the 15th percentile.
Tommy Tremble comes in as one of the worst TEs in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while checking in at the 2nd percentile.
The Bears safeties rank as the 6th-best safety corps in the league last year in defending receivers.