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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 130.5 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
  • Tommy Tremble has been responsible for a colossal 7.1% of his offense's air yards this year: 76th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Tommy Tremble's 84.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a material gain in his pass-catching talent over last year's 76.9% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (57.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Panthers.
  • The weather forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has displayed good efficiency against TEs since the start of last season, yielding 6.57 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in football.
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has been quite strong when opposing TEs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.75 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the fewest in the league.
  • The Chicago Bears safeties rank as the 10th-best collection of safeties in football this year in defending receivers.

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