Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Tommy Tremble

NFL · Player Props

Tommy Tremble

TE · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-114/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers will be starting backup QB PJ Walker in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
Tommy Tremble has garnered a whopping 9.3% of his team's air yards this year: 76th percentile among TEs.
The Carolina Panthers O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Completion% in the NFL (81.6%) vs. tight ends this year (81.6%).

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
Tommy Tremble's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 62.0% to 53.2%.

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