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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-114/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will be starting backup QB PJ Walker in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Tommy Tremble has garnered a whopping 9.3% of his team's air yards this year: 76th percentile among TEs.
  • The Carolina Panthers O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Completion% in the NFL (81.6%) vs. tight ends this year (81.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
  • Tommy Tremble's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 62.0% to 53.2%.

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