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Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup QB Sam Darnold in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.Tommy Tremble has received a monstrous 8.8% of his offense's air yards this year: 76th percentile among TEs.The Carolina Panthers O-line profiles as the 4th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 7.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Carolina Panthers have called the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 53.4 plays per game.Tommy Tremble's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 62.0% to 56.4%.
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