Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

NFL · Player Props

Tommy Tremble

TE · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 25.65 seconds per play.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 9th-highest Completion% in football (74.3%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (74.3%).
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has struggled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.17 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 10th-most in football.
The Carolina Panthers have been faced with a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Tommy Tremble has been among the weakest pass-game TEs since the start of last season, averaging just 13.0 yards per game while checking in at the 19th percentile among TEs.
Tommy Tremble has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football among TEs, hauling in just 62.0% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 9th percentile.
Tommy Tremble has been among the least efficient receivers in the league among tight ends, averaging a lowly 5.91 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 4th percentile.
Tommy Tremble has been among the weakest TEs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 3.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 14th percentile.