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Tommy DeVito

Tommy DeVito TD Passes
Player Prop Week 10

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

Tommy DeVito TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-111/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -17.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 60.4% of their chances: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Giants to be the 8th-quickest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.58 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

This year, the deficient Cowboys defense has been torched for a colossal 1.38 passing TDs per game to opposing QBs: the 9th-worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the least pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (50.1% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Giants.

Opposing QBs have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game against the Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Giants ranks as the worst in the NFL this year.

This year, the imposing Cowboys defense has surrendered a mere 65.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-lowest rate in the league.

The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the 7th-best LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

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