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Tommy DeVito

Tommy DeVito Carries
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Tommy DeVito Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 41.4% rate of running the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-most run-centric offense in football has been the Giants.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by our trusted projection set to call 66.7 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • When talking about run-blocking (and the importance it has on all ground game statistics), the O-line of the New York Giants grades out as the 8th-worst in the league last year.
  • The New Orleans Saints linebackers profile as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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