Tom Brady Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Tom Brady

NFL · Player Props

Tom Brady

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Passing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 6, 2022 1:21 AM EST

Analysis

Tom Brady Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 268.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 268.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 268.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 65.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 62.9 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Tom Brady to attempt 41.0 passes in this week's game, on average: the 4th-most of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: least in the league.
Tom Brady has passed for quite a few less yards per game (286.0) this season than he did last season (319.0).
Opposing offenses have passed for the 2nd-least yards in football (just 204.0 per game) versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest clip in the NFL against the New Orleans Saints defense this year (65.3%).

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