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Tom Brady

Tom Brady Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Tom Brady Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 268.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 268.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 268.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 65.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 62.9 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tom Brady to attempt 41.0 passes in this week's game, on average: the 4th-most of all quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: least in the league.
  • Tom Brady has passed for quite a few less yards per game (286.0) this season than he did last season (319.0).
  • Opposing offenses have passed for the 2nd-least yards in football (just 204.0 per game) versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest clip in the NFL against the New Orleans Saints defense this year (65.3%).

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