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Tom Brady

Tom Brady Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Rams

Tom Brady Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (+122/-162).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -162.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 67.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Tom Brady to attempt 42.7 passes this week, on average: the most of all quarterbacks.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have gone no-huddle on 12.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-most in football). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 3rd-least in football.

The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box against opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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