Tom Brady Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Tom Brady

NFL · Player Props

Tom Brady

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Pass Attempts

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Tom Brady Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 41.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 66.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Tom Brady to attempt 40.3 passes in this contest, on average: the 2nd-most of all quarterbacks.
The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box versus opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to call the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

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