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Tom Brady

Tom Brady Interceptions
Player Prop Week 5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Tom Brady Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-200).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tom Brady to attempt 40.5 passes in this week's game, on average: the most of all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 9th-most in football.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have gone no-huddle on 12.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buccaneers are a massive 10-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Tom Brady has averaged a mere 0.21 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among quarterbacks.
  • The Atlanta Falcons cornerbacks project as the 7th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line has given their QB just 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 9th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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