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Tom Brady

Tom Brady Interceptions
Player Prop Week 14

San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tom Brady Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 67.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense to be the fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 25.22 seconds per snap.

THE BLITZ projects Tom Brady to attempt 40.9 passes in this game, on average: the 5th-most of all quarterbacks.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tom Brady has totaled a mere 0.27 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 97th percentile among QBs.

The San Francisco 49ers have intercepted 0.94 passes per game this year, ranking as the 5th-best defense in football by this standard.

The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has given their quarterback a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have used play action on just 17.2% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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