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Tom Brady

Tom Brady Interceptions
Player Prop Week 1

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tom Brady Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-141/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -133 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -141.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 67.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 128.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 65.8 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Tom Brady to attempt 41.6 passes this week, on average: the most of all QBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Cowboys have intercepted 1.54 balls per game since the start of last season, ranking as the best defense in football by this metric.

The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 8th-best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has given their QB a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

The Dallas Cowboys pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-quickest in football since the start of last season.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have incorporated play action on a lowly 17.2% of their passing plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

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