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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Cincinnati Bengals

T.J. Hockenson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-325).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -395 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -325.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings will be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 60.9% red zone pass rate.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

Opposing teams have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Bengals defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in football.

With a high 12.2% Red Zone Target% (78th percentile) since the start of last season, T.J. Hockenson stands among the TEs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Vikings being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 29.13 seconds per play.

T.J. Hockenson's 50.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a material diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 68.8% figure.

With an awful ratio of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), T.J. Hockenson rates as one of the worst receiving TD-scorers in the NFL when it comes to tight ends since the start of last season.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Cincinnati's collection of safeties has been outstanding since the start of last season, profiling as the 7th-best in football.

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