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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts

T.J. Hockenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-121/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Vikings as the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 60.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

The projections expect T.J. Hockenson to accumulate 6.5 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to TEs.

T.J. Hockenson has been heavily involved in his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 23.8% last year, which puts him in the 100th percentile among tight ends.

With an outstanding 6.2 adjusted receptions per game (98th percentile) last year, T.J. Hockenson has been among the best pass-catching tight ends in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Vikings being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

The Minnesota Vikings have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.1 plays per game.

More T.J. Hockenson Player Props

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