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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers

T.J. Hockenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Vikings, who are -6.5-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 69.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.

The model projects T.J. Hockenson to garner 9.1 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Vikings to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.3 plays per game.

This year, the stout 49ers defense has surrendered a meager 54.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the smallest rate in football.

The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 2nd-best LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

More T.J. Hockenson Player Props

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