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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders

T.J. Hockenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season, averaging 25.27 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

T.J. Hockenson has run a route on 84.4% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 96th percentile among TEs.

THE BLITZ projects T.J. Hockenson to garner 6.7 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among TEs.

T.J. Hockenson has been among the top tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.9 receptions per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 57.6% pass rate.

T.J. Hockenson's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 74.4% to 49.6%.

The Detroit Lions offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Detroit Lions have incorporated play action on a mere 22.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

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