T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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T.J. Hockenson

NFL · Player Props

T.J. Hockenson

TE · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-120/+107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ +107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard approach.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 59.9% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest rate among all teams this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to have 132.6 total plays called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
The Detroit Lions defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (46.3 per game) this year.

Favors Under

This year, the tough Detroit Lions pass defense has conceded the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing TEs: a puny 3.1 YAC.
The Detroit defensive ends rank as the best DE corps in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

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